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Extraction Summary

2
People
5
Organizations
15
Locations
3
Events
2
Relationships
4
Quotes

Document Information

Type: Financial research report / market analysis slide
File Size: 2.78 MB
Summary

This document is a UBS financial research slide titled 'Energy' dated October 2012, analyzing the crude oil market. It discusses geopolitical risks involving Syria, Turkey, and Iran, provides price targets for Brent crude under positive and negative scenarios, and offers tactical and strategic investment recommendations. The document bears the Bates stamp HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_025283, indicating it was part of a document production for a House Oversight Committee investigation.

People (2)

Name Role Context
Dominic Schnider CIO's asset class specialist
Listed as a contact for further information at UBS.
Giovanni Staunovo CIO's asset class specialist
Listed as a contact for further information at UBS.

Organizations (5)

Name Type Context
UBS
Creator of the report.
OPEC
Mentioned regarding balancing the oil market and supply cuts.
Fed
Mentioned in the negative scenario regarding promoting growth.
IEA
Mentioned regarding an upcoming oil market report.
House Oversight Committee
Implied by the Bates stamp 'HOUSE_OVERSIGHT'.

Timeline (3 events)

2012-10-24
Brent crude price reported at USD 109/bbl.
Global Markets
2012-11
US presidential elections.
US
2012-11-13
Key date: IEA Oil market report release.
Global
IEA

Locations (15)

Location Context
Mentioned regarding civil war and oil exports.
Mentioned regarding escalation with Syria and pipelines.
Turkish port mentioned as an export point.
Location in Iraq mentioned for the Kirkuk-Ceyhan pipeline.
Source of oil flow via Turkey.
Mentioned for strong crude oil output.
Mentioned regarding economic tail risk and Eurozone breakup.
Mentioned regarding social turmoil.
Mentioned regarding embargoes, nuclear facilities, and tensions.
Mentioned as a choke point in a military confrontation scenario.
Mentioned regarding demand growth and stock building.
US
Mentioned regarding elections, gasoline mandates, and crude supply progress.
Listed in demand chart.
Listed in demand chart.
Implied by mention of 'Israeli air strike'.

Relationships (2)

Dominic Schnider Employee UBS
Listed as CIO's asset class specialist with a UBS email address.
Giovanni Staunovo Employee UBS
Listed as CIO's asset class specialist with a UBS email address.

Key Quotes (4)

"Brent (24 Oct): USD 109/bbl"
Source
HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_025283.jpg
Quote #1
"Preference: neutral"
Source
HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_025283.jpg
Quote #2
"We regard the long end of the forward curve in crude oil as mispriced."
Source
HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_025283.jpg
Quote #3
"The biggest risk related to a potential military confrontation is an Israeli air strike on nuclear facilities in Iran."
Source
HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_025283.jpg
Quote #4

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