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1.72 MB
Extraction Summary
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People
5
Organizations
3
Locations
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Events
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Relationships
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Quotes
Document Information
Type:
Financial analysis report / investment strategy document
File Size:
1.72 MB
Summary
This document is page 3 of a financial investment report (Bates stamp HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_026911). It analyzes S&P 500 returns following peaks in earnings growth, arguing that market peaks often lag behind earnings growth peaks. It also discusses 2018 inflation data (CPI, hourly earnings) and interest rate expectations for 2019, predicting rates between 3.0% and 3.5% barring geopolitical conflicts.
Organizations (5)
| Name | Type | Context |
|---|---|---|
| Investment Strategy Group |
Cited as source for the chart
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| Bloomberg |
Cited as source for the chart
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| S&P 500 |
Subject of analysis regarding returns and earnings growth
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| Federal Reserve |
Mentioned regarding inflation indicators and targets
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| House Oversight Committee |
Implied by Bates stamp 'HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_026911'
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Locations (3)
| Location | Context |
|---|---|
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Economic growth and geopolitical conflict reference
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Geopolitical conflict reference
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Geopolitical conflict reference
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Key Quotes (3)
"In short, the market ultimately follows the path of earnings and while their growth rate may be slowing, their absolute level is still rising."Source
HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_026911.jpg
Quote #1
"Inflation data has remained at relatively low levels for all of 2018"Source
HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_026911.jpg
Quote #2
"We expect interest rates to range between 3.0% and 3.5% in 2019 with a midpoint of 3.25%, barring any major geopolitical conflicts such as one between US and China and or escalating conflicts in the Middle East."Source
HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_026911.jpg
Quote #3
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