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Extraction Summary

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People
7
Organizations
6
Locations
3
Events
2
Relationships
3
Quotes

Document Information

Type: Geopolitical intelligence report / analysis
File Size: 2.45 MB
Summary

This document appears to be page 9 of a geopolitical intelligence report (likely Stratfor, commonly found in these files) analyzing the strategic situation in Israel and Gaza around August 2011. It discusses the political fallout of the Eilat road attacks, speculating that Hamas likely knew of the attacks despite denials, comparing the tactic to Fatah's use of Black September in the 70s. The analysis suggests Hamas aims to provoke an Israeli response to gain sympathy in Egypt and Europe.

Timeline (3 events)

1970s
Creation of Black September by Fatah
Middle East
August 2011 (Inferred from 'Last week')
Attack on the Eilat road
Eilat road, Israel
Unknown attackers Islamist groups Hamas (suspected knowledge)
Future (relative to document)
United Nations vote for a Palestinian state
UN
United Nations Israel Palestinians

Locations (6)

Location Context

Relationships (2)

Fatah Political Rivalry/Potential Alignment Hamas
Fatah cooperation with Israel while Gaza is at war would undermine Fatah, possibly pushing Fatah to align with Hamas.
Fatah Covert Creator/Proxy Black September
Just as Fatah created Black September in the 1970s, a group that appeared separate from Fatah but was in fact covertly part of it

Key Quotes (3)

"Palestinian feelings cut across most, if not all, opposition groups. It is a singular, unifying force that might suffice to break the military's power"
Source
HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_031921.jpg
Quote #1
"Hamas' ideal attack would offer it plausible deniability - allowing it to argue it did not even know an attack was imminent... and trigger an Israeli attack on Gaza."
Source
HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_031921.jpg
Quote #2
"Just as Fatah created Black September in the 1970s... the strategy of creating new organizations to take the blame for conflicts is an old tactic"
Source
HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_031921.jpg
Quote #3

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