📧 Communication

report

Communication Details

From
Izumi Devalier / Bank of America Merrill Lynch Linked to Izumi Devalier / Bank of America Merrill Lynch
To
amanda.ens@baml.com amanda.ens@baml.com
Date
November 18, 2016
Subject
Japan Economics Viewpoint: Ready for ignition
Message Content

A report presenting an optimistic economic outlook for Japan, forecasting higher GDP and inflation than consensus, while noting risks from US policy uncertainty.

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Document Summary

Bank of America Merrill Lynch presents an optimistic economic outlook for Japan, titled "Ready for ignition." The report argues that the consensus underestimates Japan's medium-term GDP and inflation, forecasting higher growth and inflation for CY2017 and CY2018, driven by aligned fiscal/monetary policies and recovering domestic demand. The primary risk factor identified is policy uncertainty from the United States, particularly regarding protectionism and trade following the Trump presidency.

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