A report presenting an optimistic economic outlook for Japan, forecasting higher GDP and inflation than consensus, while noting risks from US policy uncertainty.
Bank of America Merrill Lynch presents an optimistic economic outlook for Japan, titled "Ready for ignition." The report argues that the consensus underestimates Japan's medium-term GDP and inflation, forecasting higher growth and inflation for CY2017 and CY2018, driven by aligned fiscal/monetary policies and recovering domestic demand. The primary risk factor identified is policy uncertainty from the United States, particularly regarding protectionism and trade following the Trump presidency.
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