This document appears to be a page from a political strategy memo or analysis (bearing a House Oversight Bates stamp) discussing the viability and mechanics of a third-party presidential run, likely written between 2016 and 2020. It analyzes the legislative hurdles a third-party president would face, such as the Senate filibuster, and details the constitutional process of the House of Representatives selecting a president if no candidate reaches 270 electoral votes. It references Michael Bloomberg's 2016 decision not to run to avoid helping Donald Trump and speculates on the outcome of a similar scenario in 2020.
| Name | Role | Context |
|---|---|---|
| Michael Bloomberg | Former NYC Mayor / Potential Candidate |
Mentioned as declining to run on a third-party ticket in 2016 to avoid splitting support.
|
| Hillary Clinton | 2016 Presidential Candidate |
Mentioned as the candidate Bloomberg feared splitting support from.
|
| Donald Trump | President / Candidate |
Referenced as 'Trump'; discussed in the context of the House potentially electing him.
|
| Name | Type | Context |
|---|---|---|
| Congress |
Legislative body discussed regarding voting procedures and selecting a president.
|
|
| House of Representatives |
Discussed as the body that chooses the president if no candidate gets 270 electoral votes.
|
|
| Senate |
Mentioned regarding filibuster power.
|
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| GOP |
Republican Party, mentioned regarding control of the House and state delegations.
|
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| Democrats |
Political party mentioned in the context of policy and House control.
|
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| Republicans |
Political party mentioned in the context of policy.
|
| Location | Context |
|---|---|
|
Country whose long-term prospects and health are discussed.
|
"No more kicking the can down the road."Source
"The fear was the GOP controlled House would have just elected Trump."Source
"Precedent suggests that delegations use secret ballots, which means individual lawmakers may vote their consciences."Source
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