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1.62 MB

Extraction Summary

3
People
6
Organizations
1
Locations
2
Events
1
Relationships
3
Quotes

Document Information

Type: Political strategy memo / investigative document
File Size: 1.62 MB
Summary

This document appears to be a page from a political strategy memo or analysis (bearing a House Oversight Bates stamp) discussing the viability and mechanics of a third-party presidential run, likely written between 2016 and 2020. It analyzes the legislative hurdles a third-party president would face, such as the Senate filibuster, and details the constitutional process of the House of Representatives selecting a president if no candidate reaches 270 electoral votes. It references Michael Bloomberg's 2016 decision not to run to avoid helping Donald Trump and speculates on the outcome of a similar scenario in 2020.

People (3)

Name Role Context
Michael Bloomberg Former NYC Mayor / Potential Candidate
Mentioned as declining to run on a third-party ticket in 2016 to avoid splitting support.
Hillary Clinton 2016 Presidential Candidate
Mentioned as the candidate Bloomberg feared splitting support from.
Donald Trump President / Candidate
Referenced as 'Trump'; discussed in the context of the House potentially electing him.

Organizations (6)

Name Type Context
Congress
Legislative body discussed regarding voting procedures and selecting a president.
House of Representatives
Discussed as the body that chooses the president if no candidate gets 270 electoral votes.
Senate
Mentioned regarding filibuster power.
GOP
Republican Party, mentioned regarding control of the House and state delegations.
Democrats
Political party mentioned in the context of policy and House control.
Republicans
Political party mentioned in the context of policy.

Timeline (2 events)

2016
Presidential Election
USA
2020
Projected Presidential Election (discussed as a future scenario)
USA

Locations (1)

Location Context
Country whose long-term prospects and health are discussed.

Relationships (1)

Michael Bloomberg Political Strategy Hillary Clinton
In 2016, reports suggested Michael Bloomberg declined to run on a third-party ticket for fear of splitting support from Hillary Clinton

Key Quotes (3)

"No more kicking the can down the road."
Source
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Quote #1
"The fear was the GOP controlled House would have just elected Trump."
Source
HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_026502.jpg
Quote #2
"Precedent suggests that delegations use secret ballots, which means individual lawmakers may vote their consciences."
Source
HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_026502.jpg
Quote #3

Full Extracted Text

Complete text extracted from the document (2,418 characters)

narrow special interests inherent to winning re-election. This “fix-it” ticket would promise to force decisions on all the underlying structural policy matters damaging America’s long-term prospects and distorting our democracy. No more kicking the can down the road.
• This candidate should also pledge to push for laws passed that reflect the will of simple majorities in Congress. Congress now only allows bills to move forward when a “majority of a majority” supports the policy and on many levels seems fundamentally broken. This third-party president could force votes based on a transparent reading of where the votes lie via coalition building. The Senate filibuster power will present a high hurdle, but a third-party candidate would be a de facto disruptor of the two-party system. Party discipline could well break down, and moderates in both parties could form a powerful, decisive block willing to work with the new President. The policies passed into law may not be ideal for either Democrats or Republicans, but for the major agenda items that must be addressed for America’s long-term health, an imperfect fix that corrects course is better than those that now have us hurtling toward national bankruptcy.
And if no candidate secures 270 electoral votes in 2020? The House of Representatives would choose the next president. In 2016, reports suggested Michael Bloomberg declined to run on a third-party ticket for fear of splitting support from Hillary Clinton and throwing the election to a GOP-controlled House of Representatives who would then vote to select the president. The fear was the GOP controlled House would have just elected Trump.
Would Democratic control of the House mean that the House would pick an alternative to Trump as president? Each state delegation has a single vote in selecting a president and it is the incoming Congress - the class elected in 2020 that would decide the election. But no matter which party has the speaker’s chair, the GOP would almost certainly have the upper hand in the majority of state delegations controlled. Would the state delegations pick a president based on party majority control of the delegation, the winner of the popular vote in each state or their own calculations as to who is best for America? Precedent suggests that delegations use secret ballots, which means individual lawmakers may vote their consciences.
HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_026502

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