HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_027100.jpg

3.09 MB

Extraction Summary

5
People
2
Organizations
6
Locations
3
Events
2
Relationships
5
Quotes

Document Information

Type: Policy memo / strategic analysis paper (page 2 or later)
File Size: 3.09 MB
Summary

This document is a strategic policy paper (likely from 2012) analyzing the tension between the U.S. and Israel regarding Iran's nuclear program. It argues against an immediate Israeli strike, noting it would defy the U.S. President and damage the alliance, while acknowledging Israeli skepticism of U.S. assurances based on past failures in Pakistan and North Korea. The document proposes a 'package' of commitments, including Israel agreeing not to attack in 2012 and the U.S. agreeing to a joint intelligence review in spring 2013 followed by military action if Iran has not slowed its nuclear progress.

People (5)

Name Role Context
U.S. President President of the United States
Mentioned in relation to demands to postpone an Israeli strike and commitments to prevent a nuclear Iran (Implied to ...
Israeli Prime Minister Prime Minister of Israel
Mentioned regarding suspicions of motives for attacking Iran and safeguarding the US-Israel alliance (Implied to be B...
Republican presidential candidate Candidate
Mentioned as sharing a 'political benefactor' with the Israeli Prime Minister (Implied to be Mitt Romney based on 201...
Secretaries of State and Defense US Officials
Mentioned regarding commitments to prevent a nuclear Iran.
Netanyahu Israeli Prime Minister
Explicitly named in point 7 regarding suspicions of his motives.

Organizations (2)

Name Type Context
Obama administration
Mentioned as having suspicions about Netanyahu's motives.
House Oversight Committee
Implied by the footer 'HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_027100'.

Timeline (3 events)

2012
U.S. presidential elections
United States
2012
Proposed commitment that Israel will not attack Iran
Iran
Early spring of 2013
Proposed joint intelligence estimate session
Unspecified

Locations (6)

Location Context
Target of potential military strikes and sanctions; specifically Teheran.
Described as 'tiny ally' and the 'Jewish state'.
Described as 'super-power'.
Capital of Iran, referenced regarding the regime.
Cited as a failure of US non-proliferation policy.
Cited as a failure of US non-proliferation policy.

Relationships (2)

Israeli Prime Minister (Netanyahu) Political Connection Republican presidential candidate (Romney)
Text states they 'share the same political benefactor'.
United States Alliance Israel
Described as 'super-power' and 'tiny ally'; discussion of restoring harmony.

Key Quotes (5)

"Economic sanctions cannot convince the regime in Teheran to abandon its nuclear project."
Source
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Quote #1
"An American military strike against Iran’s nuclear facilities would be more effective than an Israeli one."
Source
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Quote #2
"The fact that the Israeli Prime Minister and the Republican presidential candidate share the same political benefactor feeds suspicions in the Obama administration about Netanyahu’s motives for attacking Iran a few weeks before the U.S. presidential elections."
Source
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Quote #3
"Achieving the two-state solution will preserve Israel as a Jewish, democratic state."
Source
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Quote #4
"Israel will not attack Iran in 2012."
Source
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Quote #5

Full Extracted Text

Complete text extracted from the document (3,446 characters)

leader will allow such a nightmare to become a reality. The hateful declarations of Iran's leaders, committed to wiping the Jewish state off the map, do not assuage Israelis’ fears.
2. Economic sanctions cannot convince the regime in Teheran to abandon its nuclear project. However, sanctions can bring about the collapse of the regime if they are vigorously implemented and enforced.
3. An American military strike against Iran’s nuclear facilities would be more effective than an Israeli one. But disparaging Israel's capabilities and its military ingenuity, undermining its deterrence effect, is a grave mistake.
4. Israel’s operational window is closing. If Israel has to cope alone with the Iranian threat, its window of operational opportunity is narrower than the American one. It has to act sooner.
5. An Israeli military strike in the next two months, contravening repeated demands by the U.S. President to postpone it, would be counterproductive. The damage of defying the President would be greater than the damage sustained by allowing the Iranian regime an additional few months of advancing toward acquiring the bomb. Such a strike may broaden the gap between the U.S. and Israel and weaken the alliance, which all previous Israeli Prime-Ministers have safeguarded as a strategic asset of Israel.
6. The United States has failed to prevent countries like Pakistan or North Korea from obtaining nuclear weapons. This record feeds Israeli skepticism about a U.S. success in the case of Iran. This skepticism prevails despite the clear rhetoric and unquestionable commitments of the President and the Secretaries of State and Defense to prevent a nuclear Iran.
7. The fact that the Israeli Prime Minister and the Republican presidential candidate share the same political benefactor feeds suspicions in the Obama administration about Netanyahu’s motives for attacking Iran a few weeks before the U.S. presidential elections.
8. The regional perspective cannot continue ignoring the unresolved Israeli-Palestinian conflict. This issue can no longer be swept under the rug. Maintaining the status quo is politically comfortable in the short-run, but it will be combustible and devastating in the long run. Achieving the two-state solution will preserve Israel as a Jewish, democratic state. It will end Israel’s regional isolation. It will rebuild America’s standing and influence in the Arab and Muslim world. Furthermore, these last two outcomes will strengthen America’s and Israel’s hands in thwarting Iran’s nuclear weapons ambitions.
These eight basic facts combine to produce a complex reality. When fully understood, they can pave the way to restoring U.S.-Israeli harmony. There is no symmetry between the United States, the super-power, and its tiny ally, Israel. But the "package" required from each side in order to mend fences has to include the following mutual commitments:
1. Israel will not attack Iran in 2012.
2. The United States will hold a joint intelligence estimate session with Israel in the early spring of 2013. If the conclusion of this joint estimate is that there is no substantial slow-down of the Iranian nuclear project, the U.S. will take military action to destroy this project.
3. The United States will oppose any attempt to intervene in Israel's strategic capacities and will prevent any monitoring of Israel's own strategic installations. At the same time, the United States
HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_027100

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