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Legal document
File Size:
563 KB
Summary
This document is a page from a court transcript dated July 24, 2019, in which an unidentified speaker discusses the complexities of recidivism. The speaker argues that recidivism is a psychological issue and that rates can increase over longer periods (up to 15 years), challenging the idea that risk diminishes over time. The speaker also highlights that sex crimes are particularly difficult to evaluate for recidivism because victims frequently do not report the crimes.
Organizations (1)
| Name | Type | Context |
|---|---|---|
| SOUTHERN DISTRICT REPORTERS, P.C. | company |
Listed at the bottom of the page as the court reporting service.
|
Timeline (1 events)
2019-07-24
An unidentified speaker in a legal setting discusses the complexities of recidivism, particularly for sex crimes, referencing studies and the issue of underreporting.
unspecified court
unidentified speaker
Key Quotes (3)
"It's more of a psychological aspect I would say."Source
— unidentified speaker
(Describing the nature of recidivism beyond a simple decision to stop criminal conduct.)
DOJ-OGR-00000544.jpg
Quote #1
"And the response, the percentage of recidivism actually goes up at 15 years."Source
— unidentified speaker
(Citing a study that found recidivism rates increase over longer periods, contrary to the presumption that risk decreases with time.)
DOJ-OGR-00000544.jpg
Quote #2
"There is other discussion in some of these studies that sex crimes are the most difficult to evaluate in relation to recidivism and a lot of other concepts because in sex crimes, victims very often don't come forward."Source
— unidentified speaker
(Explaining why data on recidivism for sex crimes is challenging to gather and may be inaccurate due to underreporting.)
DOJ-OGR-00000544.jpg
Quote #3
Full Extracted Text
Complete text extracted from the document (1,471 characters)
Case 1:19-cr-00490-RMB Document 36 Filed 07/24/19 Page 34 of 74 34
1 of recidivism is not always that, oh, I'm not going to do this
2 conduct anymore. It's more of a psychological aspect I would
3 say.
4 But they measure recidivism rates -- for example, one
5 study that I saw -- and I'll put this up on the docket so
6 you'll know what I was looking at -- measures recidivism at
7 five years, at ten years, and at fifteen years.
8 And the response, the percentage of recidivism
9 actually goes up at 15 years. I'm not going to quote the
10 percent. I know it, but I don't know how accurate it is, but
11 it is substantially higher than the recidivism rate at five
12 years, for example.
13 So all I'm saying is I don't think it's so clear that
14 with the passage of time, the presumption, so to speak,
15 evaporates or disappears.
16 There is other discussion in some of these studies
17 that sex crimes are the most difficult to evaluate in relation
18 to recidivism and a lot of other concepts because in sex
19 crimes, victims very often don't come forward.
20 This is not a phenomenon when we hear in this case or
21 even in another case on the news that where was the victim
22 then, didn't come forward. That's not an uncommon phenomenon
23 having to do with a whole complex number of factors. So a lot
24 of these cases are never reported.
25 I don't know that you can just draw the conclusion
2 conduct anymore. It's more of a psychological aspect I would
3 say.
4 But they measure recidivism rates -- for example, one
5 study that I saw -- and I'll put this up on the docket so
6 you'll know what I was looking at -- measures recidivism at
7 five years, at ten years, and at fifteen years.
8 And the response, the percentage of recidivism
9 actually goes up at 15 years. I'm not going to quote the
10 percent. I know it, but I don't know how accurate it is, but
11 it is substantially higher than the recidivism rate at five
12 years, for example.
13 So all I'm saying is I don't think it's so clear that
14 with the passage of time, the presumption, so to speak,
15 evaporates or disappears.
16 There is other discussion in some of these studies
17 that sex crimes are the most difficult to evaluate in relation
18 to recidivism and a lot of other concepts because in sex
19 crimes, victims very often don't come forward.
20 This is not a phenomenon when we hear in this case or
21 even in another case on the news that where was the victim
22 then, didn't come forward. That's not an uncommon phenomenon
23 having to do with a whole complex number of factors. So a lot
24 of these cases are never reported.
25 I don't know that you can just draw the conclusion
SOUTHERN DISTRICT REPORTERS, P.C.
(212) 805-0300
(212) 805-0300
DOJ-OGR-00000544
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