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2.42 MB

Extraction Summary

1
People
7
Organizations
4
Locations
2
Events
2
Relationships
4
Quotes

Document Information

Type: Intelligence analysis / political report (page 8)
File Size: 2.42 MB
Summary

This document appears to be page 8 of a geopolitical intelligence report analyzing the relationship between Hamas, Fatah, and Egypt following the destabilization of the Mubarak regime. It argues that Hamas is geographically isolated and requires a regime change in Egypt—specifically the rise of the Muslim Brotherhood—to break the blockade and counter Fatah, though it notes the Egyptian military retains significant control. The document bears a House Oversight footer.

People (1)

Name Role Context
Mubarak Former President of Egypt
Mentioned as the leader under whom anti-Israel passions were 'readily contained'.

Organizations (7)

Name Type Context
Fatah
Palestinian political party described as having 'tired but real power'.
Hamas
Palestinian militant group described as isolated and needing regime change in Egypt.
Israel
Country mentioned in relation to treaties with Egypt and conflict with Palestinians.
Muslim Brotherhood
Islamist organization mentioned as the force Hamas needs to come to power in Egypt.
Egyptian military
Described as retaining a 'remarkable degree of control'.
Egyptian security apparatus
Described as having penetrated religious elements and made war on them.
House Oversight Committee
Implied by footer 'HOUSE_OVERSIGHT'.

Timeline (2 events)

Contextual (approx 2010)
Symbolic flotillas from Turkey
Gaza/Mediterranean
Contextual (post-2011)
Regime vulnerability in Egypt (Arab Spring context)
Egypt
Egyptian regime Mubarak

Locations (4)

Location Context
Primary subject of the geopolitical analysis.
Regional power.
Mentioned in relation to the blockade.
Source of 'symbolic flotillas'.

Relationships (2)

Hamas Political Alliance (Desired) Muslim Brotherhood
Text states Hamas needs a regime where 'Islamist forces supportive of Hamas, namely the Muslim Brotherhood, come to power.'
Egypt Diplomatic/Treaty Israel
Mentions 'Egypt's treaty with Israel'.

Key Quotes (4)

"Hamas needs genuine regime change in Egypt."
Source
HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_031920.jpg
Quote #1
"The new regime it needs is not a liberal democracy but one in which Islamist forces supportive of Hamas, namely the Muslim Brotherhood, come to power."
Source
HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_031920.jpg
Quote #2
"Egypt's military has retained a remarkable degree of control..."
Source
HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_031920.jpg
Quote #3
"Under Mubarak, these passions were readily contained in Egypt."
Source
HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_031920.jpg
Quote #4

Full Extracted Text

Complete text extracted from the document (1,892 characters)

8
reality to portray Fatah as colluding with Israel against the Palestinian
people during a confrontation.
For its part, Hamas has the support of Islamists in the region,
including Shiite Iranians, but that is an explosive mix to base a
strategy on. Hamas must break its isolation if it is to counter the tired
but real power of Fatah. Symbolic flotillas from Turkey are
comforting, but Hamas needs an end to Egyptian hostility to Hamas
more than anything.
Egypt's Role and Fatah on the Defensive
Egypt is the power that geographically isolates Hamas through its
treaty with Israel and with its still-functional blockade on Gaza. More
than anyone, Hamas needs genuine regime change in Egypt. The new
regime it needs is not a liberal democracy but one in which Islamist
forces supportive of Hamas, namely the Muslim Brotherhood, come
to power.
At the moment, that is not likely. Egypt's military has retained a
remarkable degree of control, its opposition groups are divided
between secular and religious elements, and the religious elements
are further divided among themselves - as well as penetrated by an
Egyptian security apparatus that has made war on them for years. As
it stands, Egypt is not likely to evolve in a direction favorable to
Hamas. Therefore, Hamas needs to redefine the political situation in
Egypt to convert a powerful enemy into a powerful friend.
Though it is not easy for a small movement to redefine a large nation,
in this case, it could perhaps happen. There is a broad sense of
unhappiness in Egypt over Egypt's treaty with Israel, an issue that
comes to the fore when Israel and the Palestinians are fighting. As in
other Arab countries, passions surge in Egypt when the Palestinians
are fighting the Israelis.
Under Mubarak, these passions were readily contained in Egypt. Now
the Egyptian regime unquestionably is vulnerable, and pro-
HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_031920

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