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2.55 MB

Extraction Summary

2
People
2
Organizations
6
Locations
2
Events
2
Relationships
4
Quotes

Document Information

Type: Political analysis / memo / email fragment
File Size: 2.55 MB
Summary

This document appears to be a page from a geopolitical analysis or memo (part of the House Oversight collection) discussing the deteriorating relations between Israel and Turkey following the Gaza flotilla incident. It details the collapse of negotiations in December 2010, attributing blame to Israeli Foreign Minister Avigdor Lieberman's hard-line stance and Turkey's inflexible demands regarding the Gaza embargo. The author analyzes Erdogan's strategy, suggesting he is using the conflict to assert regional leadership and build domestic support for constitutional reforms regarding Kurdish demands.

People (2)

Name Role Context
Avigdor Lieberman Foreign Minister (Israel)
Described as hard-line; tried to prevent a negotiated outcome between Israel and Turkey.
Erdogan Leader (Turkey)
Described as capturing the imagination of the region; using the crisis for domestic and regional political gain.

Organizations (2)

Name Type Context
New York Times
Recipient of a leaked commission report.
The Commission
Produced a report on the Gaza embargo and use of force (likely the Palmer Commission).

Timeline (2 events)

December 2010
Negotiations between Israel and Turkey nearly reached an agreement but collapsed over self-defense wording.
Unknown
Unknown (Prior to document)
Leak of commission report to the New York Times.
New York

Locations (6)

Location Context
Party to the diplomatic conflict.
Party to the diplomatic conflict (referred to as Turks/Ankara).
Metonym for Israeli government.
Metonym for Turkish government.
Subject of the embargo and conflict.
Area where Turkey is seeking leadership.

Relationships (2)

Israel Diplomatic Conflict Turkey
Failed negotiations, demand for apology, Gaza embargo dispute.
Avigdor Lieberman Opposition Negotiated Outcome
Tried to prevent a negotiated outcome from being finalized.

Key Quotes (4)

"The commission’s report, leaked to the New York Times, found that the Israelis had indeed used excessive force but that the Gaza embargo was legal."
Source
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Quote #1
"Ankara thinks that it is in the driver’s seat not just with respect to Israel, but also the rest of the Middle East."
Source
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Quote #2
"By doing so Erdogan has once again captured the imagination of the region."
Source
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Quote #3
"The crisis with Israel will help him change the narrative as he begins to push for a much-needed and major overhaul of the Turkish constitutional system"
Source
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Quote #4

Full Extracted Text

Complete text extracted from the document (2,018 characters)

8
face-saving way for the two countries to patch their differences. The commission’s report, leaked to the New York Times, found that the Israelis had indeed used excessive force but that the Gaza embargo was legal.
On the Israeli side, hard-line foreign minister Avigdor Lieberman at every turn tried to prevent a negotiated outcome from being finalized. Turks did not make it easier either by taking inflexible positions that made it hard for the Israelis to apologize. As I understand it, in December 2010, the two sides had come close to an agreement: Israel would apologize and provide compensation. However, Jerusalem wanted the agreement to also state that it had acted in self-defense. Turks would not agree to the latter condition, and the deal collapsed. There are many on both sides of this divide who worked desperately to prevent this turn of events, and they must feel terribly unhappy and bruised.
Significantly, it appears that Turkey’s tactics shifted considerably in the intervening year since the original crisis. Ankara thinks that it is in the driver’s seat not just with respect to Israel, but also the rest of the Middle East. This is a gambit for leadership in the region. The Turks have gone beyond the demand for an apology by conditioning a return to the status quo ante on the lifting of the Gaza embargo, something to which they know Israel cannot and will not acquiesce. That conditionality is something that no other regional government has ever contemplated, much less articulated. By doing so Erdogan has once again captured the imagination of the region.
This is a win-win for him not just abroad but also at home. The crisis with Israel will help him change the narrative as he begins to push for a much-needed and major overhaul of the Turkish constitutional system—it must be updated to start accommodating Kurdish demands, something that will be terribly difficult as the reforms go against almost ninety years of republican history. The Israel crisis, as
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