HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_031950.jpg
2.41 MB
Extraction Summary
2
People
5
Organizations
6
Locations
2
Events
3
Relationships
3
Quotes
Document Information
Type:
Political analysis / briefing paper (house oversight record)
File Size:
2.41 MB
Summary
This page appears to be part of a geopolitical briefing or article regarding the Syrian Civil War. It analyzes the demographics of the uprising (majority vs. Ba'ath minority), discusses the potential for regional destabilization in Iraq and Lebanon, and critiques the Russian and Chinese vetoes at the UN Security Council. The document bears a House Oversight Bates stamp.
People (2)
| Name | Role | Context |
|---|---|---|
| Assad | Leader of Syria |
Mentioned as the leader of the minority regime, employing a 'rule by massacre' policy.
|
| King Abdullah | King of Jordan |
Suggested that Assad should stand down.
|
Organizations (5)
| Name | Type | Context |
|---|---|---|
| Ba'ath Party |
The minority party dominating the Syrian government.
|
|
| Syrian National Council |
Described as the opposition's umbrella organization.
|
|
| Arab League |
International organization that suspended Syria's membership.
|
|
| UN Security Council |
International body where a resolution on Syria was vetoed.
|
|
| House Oversight Committee |
Source of the document (indicated by footer).
|
Timeline (2 events)
Last month (relative to document date)
Russian and Chinese veto of a Franco-British resolution on Syria at the UN Security Council.
UN Security Council
Unknown (Recent relative to document)
Locations (6)
| Location | Context |
|---|---|
|
Primary subject of the analysis.
|
|
|
Mentioned in relation to King Abdullah.
|
|
|
Mentioned as a country where violence could spill over.
|
|
|
Mentioned as a country where violence could spill over.
|
|
|
Vetoed the UN resolution on Syria.
|
|
|
Vetoed the UN resolution on Syria.
|
Relationships (3)
King Abdullah suggested Assad stand down.
Russia vetoed UN resolution against Syria.
China vetoed UN resolution against Syria.
Full Extracted Text
Complete text extracted from the document (1,878 characters)
10
In a civil war, a society is divided into armed camps that, initially at
least, are roughly the same size. That’s not the case in Syria, where
the uprising is backed by an overwhelming majority against a
government that’s dominated by a small minority — the Ba’ath Party.
To make matters worse, the Ba’ath is dominated by the Nusairi
(Alawite) religious minority, a mere 5 percent of the population.
Thus, Syria’s is a nationwide revolution against a minority regime.
Almost all Syrians agree that the situation is untenable. Assad’s
policy of rule by massacre has few supporters outside his clan.
Judging by the revolution’s most popular slogan — “Assad Get Out!”—
a majority may support demands for Assad to stand down, as
suggested by Jordan’s King Abdullah.
Nevertheless, the Assad clan still controls enough military and
financial assets to continue its rule-by-massacre strategy.
The result could be the disintegration of the Syrian army and the
emergence of armed groups beyond the control of either the
government or the Syrian National Council, the opposition’s
umbrella organization. That could lead to violence spilling into
neighboring countries, especially Iraq and Lebanon.
Rather than speculating about a civil war, the Arab League and the
international community should focus on the dangers that the Syrian
situation poses for regional peace.
A Franco-British resolution on Syria won a majority at the UN
Security Council last month but was killed by Russian and Chinese
vetoes. The Security Council should take up the issue again — this
time to debate the threat to the region.
Last month, Russia and China tried to justify their vetoes by claiming
that the Arab states were divided over Syria. This wasn’t true then
and is less so now. The Arab League has suspended Syria’s
membership and condemned the rule-by-massacre policy. Arab
least, are roughly the same size. That’s not the case in Syria, where
the uprising is backed by an overwhelming majority against a
government that’s dominated by a small minority — the Ba’ath Party.
To make matters worse, the Ba’ath is dominated by the Nusairi
(Alawite) religious minority, a mere 5 percent of the population.
Thus, Syria’s is a nationwide revolution against a minority regime.
Almost all Syrians agree that the situation is untenable. Assad’s
policy of rule by massacre has few supporters outside his clan.
Judging by the revolution’s most popular slogan — “Assad Get Out!”—
a majority may support demands for Assad to stand down, as
suggested by Jordan’s King Abdullah.
Nevertheless, the Assad clan still controls enough military and
financial assets to continue its rule-by-massacre strategy.
The result could be the disintegration of the Syrian army and the
emergence of armed groups beyond the control of either the
government or the Syrian National Council, the opposition’s
umbrella organization. That could lead to violence spilling into
neighboring countries, especially Iraq and Lebanon.
Rather than speculating about a civil war, the Arab League and the
international community should focus on the dangers that the Syrian
situation poses for regional peace.
A Franco-British resolution on Syria won a majority at the UN
Security Council last month but was killed by Russian and Chinese
vetoes. The Security Council should take up the issue again — this
time to debate the threat to the region.
Last month, Russia and China tried to justify their vetoes by claiming
that the Arab states were divided over Syria. This wasn’t true then
and is less so now. The Arab League has suspended Syria’s
membership and condemned the rule-by-massacre policy. Arab
HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_031950
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