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Extraction Summary

3
People
16
Organizations
5
Locations
3
Events
1
Relationships
3
Quotes

Document Information

Type: Financial research report / strategy document
File Size:
Summary

This is page 12 of a 'Global Cross Asset Strategy' report by Bank of America Merrill Lynch, dated November 30, 2016. The document analyzes political risks in Europe for 2017, specifically the French elections (predicting a Fillon victory over Le Pen) and German elections (predicting Merkel's return), as well as the economic impact of Brexit on the UK. The document bears a 'HOUSE_OVERSIGHT' Bates stamp, indicating it was part of a document production to the US House Oversight Committee.

People (3)

Name Role Context
Marine Le Pen Politician (France)
Mentioned as a candidate for the Front National whose victory could threaten the EU and Euro.
Francois Fillon Politician (France)
Mentioned as the official Republican candidate, leading polls against Le Pen.
Angela Merkel Chancellor (Germany)
Expected to return as head of a coalition government; referred to as 'Merkel'.

Organizations (16)

Name Type Context
Bank of America Merrill Lynch
Publisher of the document.
House Oversight Committee
Implied recipient of document production via Bates stamp 'HOUSE_OVERSIGHT'.
5 Star Movement
Italian political party mentioned in relation to Italian banks.
Front National
French political party led by Marine Le Pen.
CDU
German political party (Christian Democratic Union) led by Merkel.
SPD
German political party.
AfD
German political party.
EU
European Union, discussed in context of political risk.
Allensbach
Polling agency source.
Emnid
Polling agency source.
Forsa
Polling agency source.
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen
Polling agency source.
Ifop
Polling agency source.
BVA
Polling agency source.
Odoxa
Polling agency source.
Harris Interactive
Polling agency source.

Timeline (3 events)

2016
Brexit / Triggering of Article 50
United Kingdom
2017
French Presidential Election
France
2017
German Federal Election
Germany

Locations (5)

Location Context
Mentioned regarding bank recapitalisation risks.
Focus of 2017 election analysis.
Focus of 2017 election analysis.
General market context.
Mentioned as 'UK' in relation to Brexit and Article 50.

Relationships (1)

Francois Fillon Political Opponents Marine Le Pen
Chart 20 shows them in a potential run-off; text compares their polling numbers.

Key Quotes (3)

"A Le Pen victory could likely bring the future of the EU and the Euro into question as she has talked about France withdrawing from both."
Source
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Quote #1
"That in turn has arguably the potential to be even more of an earthquake for the world's financial markets."
Source
HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014443.jpg
Quote #2
"We expect the UK economy to struggle as the lagged effect of the fall in the currency hurts consumers..."
Source
HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014443.jpg
Quote #3

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