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People
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Type: Government or policy report page
File Size: 2.6 MB
Summary

This document page analyzes potential U.S. military strategies regarding Iran, weighing the risks of a "social war," regime change, and limited military operations. It warns that limited attacks could escalate unpredictably if the Iranian regime perceives them as an existential threat, and notes the difficulties of a "decapitation strategy" similar to the 2003 Iraq war.

Organizations (3)

Timeline (1 events)

March 2003 war against Iraq

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Location Context

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Key Quotes (3)

"A decapitation strategy, we know, did not fare so well in March 2003 against Iraq, and it would probably be harder to pull off against a more deeply institutionalized polity like Iran."
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Quote #1
"There is simply no way to predict with confidence how radicals in Iran would respond to an initially limited U.S. attack."
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Quote #2
"Since the Iranian regime has many ways to widen a war into domains that do not favor the United States, the best option is to execute regime-change before the regime can open its bag of tricks."
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Quote #3

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