📧 Communication

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Subject
Israel strike probability
Message Content

Allusion in The Atlantic to a consensus that there is a better than 50 percent chance Israel will launch a strike.

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Document Summary

This document appears to be page 21 of a political article or op-ed (likely by Roger Cohen given the context of 'my friend Jeffrey Goldberg') discussing the geopolitical tension between Israel and Iran regarding nuclear weapons. The text argues that despite alarmist rhetoric from Israeli leaders like Netanyahu, intelligence estimates (specifically the 2007 and 2011 N.I.E.) and reports by Seymour Hersh suggest Iran is not actively building a bomb. The document bears a House Oversight Bates stamp.

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