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1.77 MB
Extraction Summary
5
People
2
Organizations
0
Locations
4
Events
1
Relationships
4
Quotes
Document Information
Type:
Book excerpt / essay (embedded in house oversight committee investigation file)
File Size:
1.77 MB
Summary
This document is page 18 of a book or essay titled 'Are the Androids Dreaming Yet?', bearing a House Oversight Committee Bates stamp. The text, written in 2014, discusses the evolution of AI, comparing the human brain to computers, referencing Moore's Law, and predicting when artificial intelligence might match human processing power (projected here between 2053 and 2080). It mentions historical figures like Alexander Graham Bell and Alan Turing, as well as Intel founders Gordon Moore and Andy Grove.
People (5)
| Name | Role | Context |
|---|---|---|
| Alexander Graham Bell | Inventor |
Mentioned historically regarding the invention of the telephone and analogies for the brain.
|
| Alan Turing | Mathematician/Computer Scientist |
Referenced regarding his predictions on computer storage and intelligence.
|
| Gordon Moore | Co-founder of Intel |
Mentioned in the context of Moore's Law.
|
| Andy Grove | Executive at Intel |
Mentioned as founding Intel with Gordon Moore.
|
| Author (Unnamed) | Writer |
Writes in the first person ('I can report', 'beat me at chess') about the state of technology in 2014.
|
Organizations (2)
| Name | Type | Context |
|---|---|---|
| Intel |
Founded by Gordon Moore and Andy Grove.
|
|
| House Oversight Committee |
Implied by the Bates stamp 'HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_015708'.
|
Timeline (4 events)
Mid-2000
Time when computers reached the level of storing around 10 billion units of information (Turing prediction threshold).
Relationships (1)
Gordon Moore founded Intel with Andy Grove
Key Quotes (4)
"But today, in the year 2014, I can report that although my computer can beat me at chess, it still cannot fill out my expense report for me."Source
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Quote #1
"The worrying thing – especially for fans of the ‘computers taking over the world’ science fiction genre – is that computers are improving exponentially fast in line with Moore’s Law"Source
HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_015708.jpg
Quote #2
"The next significant event in the computer versus human competition is the gate count parity point – the moment when the number of logic gates and the number of neurons become equal."Source
HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_015708.jpg
Quote #3
"The extra four orders of magnitude push the gate parity point out to around 2080, too late for me to see, but certainly within the bounds of some readers of this book."Source
HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_015708.jpg
Quote #4
Full Extracted Text
Complete text extracted from the document (2,738 characters)
18
Are the Androids Dreaming Yet?
Are the Androids Dreaming Yet?
Each time a new advance in technology is made, people use it to explain the working of the brain. The ancient Greeks thought the brain was a fire consuming oxygen. When Alexander Graham Bell invented the telephone, the nervous system resembled a maze of wires and the brain an exchange. Brains were obviously a sophisticated telephone system. This idea has some potentially frightening consequences, particularly in light of the speed at which computers are improving.
The most striking feature of computer technology is the rate of development. Cars travel faster than a person’s legs will carry them, machines manufacture things faster than our hands are capable of working. If brains are computers, surely it is just a matter of time before they will think faster than humans. Turing predicted this would happen when computers reached the level of storing around 10 billion units of information. This happened some time in mid-2000. But today, in the year 2014, I can report that although my computer can beat me at chess, it still cannot fill out my expense report for me. So I am still ahead!
Maybe Turing just got the mathematics wrong. The human brain has about 10,000 times more neurons than our most powerful computers have logic gates. By this calculation, it’s not a billion units of storage we need but, a trillion trillion units to put the computer on a par with a human brain. It’s just a matter of time!
The worrying thing – especially for fans of the ‘computers taking over the world’ science fiction genre – is that computers are improving exponentially fast in line with Moore’s Law, and the parity point is coming soon. Gordon Moore founded Intel with Andy Grove, and ran the engineering department there for more than 20 years. According to Moore’s Law, the power of a computer doubles approximately every 18 months. The next significant event in the computer versus human competition is the gate count parity point – the moment when the number of logic gates and the number of neurons become equal. By my reckoning this will happen some time in 2053.
Don’t despair. There may be a few dodges yet. The gate parity point assumes a logic gate and a neuron are equally powerful. However, some single cell organisms with only one neuron are capable of complex behaviors, such as hunting prey and avoiding obstacles. To perform these simple behaviors, a computer would need as many as 10,000 logic gates, about the complexity of my TV remote control. This gives us a bit more breathing space. The extra four orders of magnitude push the gate parity point out to around 2080, too late for me to see, but certainly within the bounds of some readers of this book.
HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_015708
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