HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_029952.jpg
2.3 MB
Extraction Summary
2
People
4
Organizations
3
Locations
0
Events
1
Relationships
4
Quotes
Document Information
Type:
Report/analysis (page from house oversight file)
File Size:
2.3 MB
Summary
This document page (marked page 21 and Bates stamped HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_029952) contains a geopolitical analysis of tensions between China and the U.S. regarding the South China Sea. It discusses China's 'nine-dashed line' claim, the Law of the Sea Treaty (which the U.S. has not ratified), and suggests that aggressive U.S. containment strategies may be leading Chinese leadership to believe war is inevitable. The text appears to be part of a larger report or academic paper analyzing international law and military strategy.
People (2)
| Name | Role | Context |
|---|---|---|
| China's military leadership | Military Officials |
Described as potentially being pushed 'over the edge' by US tactics.
|
| Experts on Law of the Sea | Legal/Policy Experts |
Chinese experts who are aware of legal opportunities regarding maritime claims.
|
Organizations (4)
| Name | Type | Context |
|---|---|---|
| Western powers |
Mentioned as having developed international law imposed on China.
|
|
| China |
Primary subject of the analysis regarding geopolitical strategy and maritime claims.
|
|
| U.S. |
Discussed in relation to navigational issues, containment policy, and non-ratification of the convention.
|
|
| House Oversight Committee |
Implied by the Bates stamp 'HOUSE_OVERSIGHT'.
|
Locations (3)
| Location | Context |
|---|---|
|
The specific region subject to territorial claims discussed in the text.
|
|
|
Country discussed.
|
|
|
Country discussed.
|
Key Quotes (4)
"In other words China is indeed serious about its nine-dashed line claim to all features, waters and resources of the South China Sea"Source
HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_029952.jpg
Quote #1
"This is radical and could lead to war."Source
HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_029952.jpg
Quote #2
"The U.S. would be widely seen as a "bully" if it tried to force its interpretation on the world."Source
HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_029952.jpg
Quote #3
"Maybe they have concluded from what they perceive as the U.S. "containment" policy... that war is inevitable."Source
HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_029952.jpg
Quote #4
Full Extracted Text
Complete text extracted from the document (1,807 characters)
21
ratified and with international law that Western powers developed
and have imposed on China while it was weak and that it now is set
on revamping the international system.
In other words China is indeed serious about its nine-dashed line
claim to all features, waters and resources of the South China Sea and
it alone will decide the passage regime to be imposed therein.
This is radical and could lead to war.Otherwise, China could claim
most of what it wants by using existing international law and the Law
of the Sea Treaty. It could claim the features and, for legal islands, a
continental shelf and 200 nautical mile exclusive economic zone for
each. Of course it would have to negotiate boundaries with the other
claimants.
But that is the present situation anyway and China's legal position is
very weak. The area claimed would be almost the same as that within
the nine-dashed line and the argument would be legitimate —
supported by the convention.
Regarding the navigational issues with the U.S., the U.S. has not
ratified the convention and has little legitimacy in arguing it or its
interpretation thereof. The U.S. would be widely seen as a "bully" if
it tried to force its interpretation on the world.
The puzzle is that China has excellent experts on Law of the Sea who
are aware of this opportunity and yet China seems to be eschewing
this option.
Perhaps U.S. strategy and tactics have pushed a portion of China's
military leadership "over the edge." Maybe they have concluded from
what they perceive as the U.S. "containment" policy and the constant
and active probing by high-tech spy vessels and planes that war is
inevitable. In this scenario China feels it must defend its exposed
underbelly and push its defense "zone" as far south and seaward as
possible.
and have imposed on China while it was weak and that it now is set
on revamping the international system.
In other words China is indeed serious about its nine-dashed line
claim to all features, waters and resources of the South China Sea and
it alone will decide the passage regime to be imposed therein.
This is radical and could lead to war.Otherwise, China could claim
most of what it wants by using existing international law and the Law
of the Sea Treaty. It could claim the features and, for legal islands, a
continental shelf and 200 nautical mile exclusive economic zone for
each. Of course it would have to negotiate boundaries with the other
claimants.
But that is the present situation anyway and China's legal position is
very weak. The area claimed would be almost the same as that within
the nine-dashed line and the argument would be legitimate —
supported by the convention.
Regarding the navigational issues with the U.S., the U.S. has not
ratified the convention and has little legitimacy in arguing it or its
interpretation thereof. The U.S. would be widely seen as a "bully" if
it tried to force its interpretation on the world.
The puzzle is that China has excellent experts on Law of the Sea who
are aware of this opportunity and yet China seems to be eschewing
this option.
Perhaps U.S. strategy and tactics have pushed a portion of China's
military leadership "over the edge." Maybe they have concluded from
what they perceive as the U.S. "containment" policy and the constant
and active probing by high-tech spy vessels and planes that war is
inevitable. In this scenario China feels it must defend its exposed
underbelly and push its defense "zone" as far south and seaward as
possible.
HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_029952
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