EFTA00035829.pdf

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People
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Type: Federal bureau of prisons report / presentation
File Size: 914 KB
Summary

This Federal Bureau of Prisons report from August 2025 analyzes statistical correlations between BOP staffing levels (total employees and First Step Act positions) and inmate participation in various drug treatment programs (Drug Education, RDAP, NRDAP, Community Treatment, and MAT) from FY2021 to FY2024. The data generally shows no correlation between total BOP staffing and program participation. However, the report identifies a strong correlation (R^2 = 0.98) between the number of filled First Step Act (FSA) positions and participation in the Medication Assisted Treatment (MAT) program.

People (1)

Name Role Context
Director of BOP Director
Subject of GAO Priority Recommendation 2 to develop and implement a plan for analyzing data.

Timeline (1 events)

August 2025
Publication of analysis regarding Inmate Participation in Drug Treatment Programs vs. Staffing Levels
N/A
Federal Bureau of Prisons

Locations (1)

Location Context

Key Quotes (4)

"Findings reflect correlation only and do not imply causation."
Source
EFTA00035829.pdf
Quote #1
"There is no trend indicating that changes in the number of BOP employees affect inmate participation in drug treatment programs."
Source
EFTA00035829.pdf
Quote #2
"This indicates that increases in filled FSA positions are generally associated with higher inmate participation in certain drug treatment programs, though other factors may also play a role."
Source
EFTA00035829.pdf
Quote #3
"The correlation has an R2 value of 0.98 indicating that the number of filled FSA positions has a strong impact on the number of inmates in the MAT Program."
Source
EFTA00035829.pdf
Quote #4

Full Extracted Text

Complete text extracted from the document (13,629 characters)

FEDERAL BUREAU OF PRISONS
Inmate Participation in Drug Treatment Programs vs. Staffing Levels
August 2025
EFTA00035829
Table of Contents
1 Executive Summary
2 Inmate Participation in Drug Treatment Programs vs. Total Number of BOP Employees
Including the total number of inmates in all drug treatment programs and the following individual programs: Drug Education Program, Residential Drug Abuse Program (RDAP), Non-Residential Drug Abuse Program (NRDAP), Community Treatment Program, and Medication Assisted Treatment (MAT) Program.
3 Inmate Participation in Drug Treatment Programs vs. Filled First Step Act (FSA) Positions
Including the total number of inmates in all drug treatment programs and the following individual programs: Drug Education Program, RDAP, NRDAP, Community Treatment Program, and MAT Program.
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EFTA00035830
Executive Summary
3
EFTA00035831
Executive Summary
This analysis, conducted in response to GAO Priority Recommendation 2*, examines the correlation between inmate participation in drug treatment programs and staffing levels from FY2021 to FY2024. This analysis examines (1) the correlation between inmate participation in drug treatment programs and the total number of BOP employees, and (2) the correlation between inmate participation in drug treatment programs and the number of filled FSA positions. Findings reflect correlation only and do not imply causation.
Key Insights
Total Number of BOP Employees
• No correlation between the total number of BOP employees and the number of inmates participating in all drug treatment programs.
• No correlation between the total number of BOP employees and the number of inmates participating in individual drug treatment programs.**
There is no trend indicating that changes in the number of BOP employees affect inmate participation in drug treatment programs.
Number of Filled FSA Positions
• No correlation between the number of filled FSA positions and the number of inmates participating in the Drug Education Program, RDAP, or Community Treatment programs.
• Moderate correlation between the number of filled FSA positions and the total number of inmates participating in all drug treatment programs.
• Moderate correlation between the number of filled FSA positions and the number of inmates participating in NRDAP.
• Strong correlation between the number of filled FSA positions and the number of inmates participating in the MAT Program.
This indicates that increases in filled FSA positions are generally associated with higher inmate participation in certain drug treatment programs, though other factors may also play a role.
*GAO Priority Recommendation 2: "The Director of BOP should develop and implement a plan for analyzing data to help identify and address the causes and potential impacts of staffing challenges on staff and inmates" 4
**Individual drug treatment programs include the following: Drug Education Program, RDAP, NRDAP, Community Treatment Program, and MAT Program.
EFTA00035832
Inmate Participation in Drug Treatment Programs vs. Total Number of BOP Employees
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EFTA00035833
Total Inmates in All Drug Treatment Programs vs. Total BOP Employees
The chart below shows data from FY2021 to FY2024. It shows no correlation* between the total number BOP employees and the total number of inmates participating in all drug treatment programs. There is no trend indicating that changes in the total number of BOP employees affect the total number of inmates participating in drug treatment programs.
Total Number of Inmates in All Drug Treatment Programs vs. Total Number of BOP Employees
[Chart Data:
2021: Inmates 55,265; Employees 37,312
2022: Inmates 27,704; Employees 35,387
2023: Inmates 75,246; Employees 35,001
2024: Inmates 79,690; Employees 35,940]
*The correlation has an R2 value of 0.002 indicating that the total number of BOP employees has no impact on the number of inmates in drug treatment programs. To show a strong impact, data standards require R2 > 0.50.
6
EFTA00035834
Inmates in Drug Education Program vs. Total BOP Employees
The chart below shows data from FY2021 to FY2024. It shows no correlation* between the total number of BOP employees and the total number of inmates participating in the Drug Education Program. There is no trend indicating that changes in the total number of BOP employees affect the number of inmates participating in the Drug Education Program.
Number of Inmates in Drug Education Program vs. Total Number of BOP Employees
[Chart Data:
2021: Inmates 19,378; Employees 37,312
2022: Inmates 8,749; Employees 35,387
2023: Inmates 26,958; Employees 35,001
2024: Inmates 22,406; Employees 35,940]
*The correlation has an R2 value of 0.003 indicating that the total number of BOP employees has no impact on the number of inmates in the Drug Education Program. To show a strong impact, data standards require R2 > 0.50.
7
EFTA00035835
Inmates in RDAP vs. Total BOP Employees
The chart below shows data from FY2021 to FY2024. It shows no correlation* between the total number of BOP employees and the number of inmates participating in RDAP. There is no trend indicating that changes in the total number of BOP employees affect the number of inmates participating in RDAP.
Number of Inmates in RDAP vs. Total Number of BOP Employees
[Chart Data:
2021: Inmates 10,465; Employees 37,312
2022: Inmates 6,640; Employees 35,387
2023: Inmates 12,170; Employees 35,001
2024: Inmates 12,027; Employees 35,940]
*The correlation has an R2 value of 0.004 indicating that the total number of BOP employees has no impact on the number of inmates in RDAP. To show a strong impact, data standards require R2 > 0.50.
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EFTA00035836
Inmates in NRDAP vs. Total BOP Employees
The chart below shows data from FY2021 to FY2024. It shows no correlation* between the total number of BOP employees and the number of inmates participating in NRDAP. There is no trend indicating that changes in the total number of BOP employees affect the number of inmates participating in NRDAP.
Number of Inmates in NRDAP vs. Total Number of BOP Employees
[Chart Data:
2021: Inmates 13,570; Employees 37,312
2022: Inmates 7,891; Employees 35,387
2023: Inmates 20,993; Employees 35,001
2024: Inmates 21,166; Employees 35,940]
*The correlation has an R2 value of 0.03 indicating that the total number of BOP employees has no impact on the number of inmates in the NRDAP. To show a strong impact, data standards require R2 > 0.50.
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EFTA00035837
Inmates in Community Treatment Program vs. Total BOP Employees
The chart below shows data from FY2021 to FY2024. It shows no correlation* between the total number of BOP employees and the number of inmates participating in the Community Treatment Program. There is no trend indicating that changes in the total number of BOP employees affect the number of inmates participating in the Community Treatment Program.
Number of Inmates in Community Treatment Program vs. Total Number of BOP Employees
[Chart Data:
2021: Inmates 11,852; Employees 37,312
2022: Inmates 4,424; Employees 35,387
2023: Inmates 13,149; Employees 35,001
2024: Inmates 14,944; Employees 35,940]
*The correlation has an R2 value of 0.02 indicating that the total number of BOP employees has no impact on the number of inmates in the Community Treatment Program. To show a strong impact, data standards require R2 > 0.50.
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EFTA00035838
Inmates in MAT Program vs. Total BOP Employees
The chart below shows data from FY2021 to FY2024. It shows no correlation* between the total number of BOP employees and the number of inmates participating in the MAT Program. There is no trend indicating that changes in the total number of BOP employees affect the number of inmates participating in the MAT Program.
Number of Inmates in MAT Program vs. Total Number of BOP Employees
[Chart Data:
2021: Inmates 246; Employees 37,312
2022: Inmates 3,208; Employees 35,387
2023: Inmates 4,936; Employees 35,001
2024: Inmates 9,136; Employees 35,940]
*The correlation has an R2 value of 0.21 indicating that the total number of BOP employees has no impact on the number of inmates in the MAT Program. To show a strong impact, data standards require R2 > 050.
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EFTA00035839
Inmate Participation in Drug Treatment Programs vs. Filled FSA Positions
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EFTA00035840
Total Inmates in All Drug Treatment Programs vs. Filled FSA Positions
The chart below shows data from FY2021 to FY2024. It shows a moderate correlation* between the number of filled FSA positions and the total number of inmates participating in all drug treatment programs. As the number of filled FSA positions increases, the total number of inmates participating in all drug treatment programs tends to increase but may be influenced by additional factors.
Total Number of Inmates in All Drug Treatment Programs vs. Number of Filled FSA Positions
[Chart Data:
2021: Inmates 55,265; FSA Positions 111
2022: Inmates 27,704; FSA Positions 248
2023: Inmates 75,246; FSA Positions 338
2024: Inmates 79,690; FSA Positions 669]
*The correlation has an R2 value of 0.39 indicating that the number of filled FSA positions has a moderate impact on the total number of inmates in all drug treatment programs. To show a strong impact, data standards require R2 > 0.50.
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EFTA00035841
Inmates in Drug Education Program vs. Filled FSA Positions
The chart below shows data from FY2021 to FY2024. It shows no correlation* between the number of filled FSA positions and the number of inmates participating in the Drug Education Program. There is no trend indicating that changes in the number of filled FSA positions affect the number of inmates participating in the Drug Education Program.
Number of Inmates in Drug Education Program vs. Number of Filled FSA Positions
[Chart Data:
2021: Inmates 19,378; FSA Positions 111
2022: Inmates 8,749; FSA Positions 248
2023: Inmates 26,958; FSA Positions 338
2024: Inmates 22,406; FSA Positions 669]
*The correlation has an R2 value of 0.13 that the total number of filled FSA positions has no impact on the number of inmates in the Drug Education Program. To show a strong impact, data standards require R2 > 0.50.
14
EFTA00035842
Inmates in RDAP vs. Filled FSA Positions
The chart below shows data from FY2021 to FY2024. It shows no correlation* between the number of filled FSA positions and the number of inmates participating in RDAP. There is no trend indicating that changes in the number of filled FSA positions affect the number of inmates participating in RDAP.
Number of Inmates in RDAP vs. Number of Filled FSA Positions
[Chart Data:
2021: Inmates 10,465; FSA Positions 111
2022: Inmates 6,640; FSA Positions 248
2023: Inmates 12,170; FSA Positions 338
2024: Inmates 12,027; FSA Positions 669]
*The correlation has an R2 value of 0.22 indicating that the number of filled FSA positions has no impact on the number of inmates in RDAP. To show a strong impact, data standards require R2 > 0.50.
15
EFTA00035843
Inmates in NRDAP vs. Filled FSA Positions
The chart below shows data from FY2021 to FY2024. It shows a moderate correlation* between the number of filled FSA positions and the total number of inmates participating in NRDAP. As the number of filled FSA positions increases, the number of inmates participating in NRDAP tends to increase but may be influenced by additional factors.
Number of Inmates in NRDAP vs. Number of Filled FSA Positions
[Chart Data:
2021: Inmates 13,570; FSA Positions 111
2022: Inmates 7,891; FSA Positions 248
2023: Inmates 20,993; FSA Positions 338
2024: Inmates 21,166; FSA Positions 669]
*The correlation has an R2 value of 0.43 indicating that the number of filled FSA positions has a moderate impact on the number of inmates in NRDAP. To show a strong impact, data standards require R2 > 0.50.
16
EFTA00035844
Inmates in Community Treatment Program vs. Filled FSA Positions
The chart below shows data from FY2021 to FY2024. It shows no correlation* between the number of filled FSA positions and the number of inmates participating in the Community Treatment Program. There is no trend indicating that changes in the number of filled FSA positions affect the number of inmates participating in the Community Treatment Program.
Number of Inmates in Community Treatment Program vs. Number of Filled FSA Positions
[Chart Data:
2021: Inmates 11,852; FSA Positions 111
2022: Inmates 4,424; FSA Positions 248
2023: Inmates 13,149; FSA Positions 338
2024: Inmates 14,944; FSA Positions 669]
*The correlation has an R2 value of 0.27 indicating that the number of filled FSA positions has no impact on the number of inmates in the Community Treatment Program. To show a strong impact, data standards require R2 > 050.
17
EFTA00035845
Inmates in Medication Assisted Treatment Program vs. Filled FSA Positions
The chart below shows data from FY2021 to FY2024. It shows a strong correlation* between the number of filled FSA positions and the number of inmates participating in the MAT Program. As the number of filled FSA positions increases, the number of inmates participating in the MAT Program tends to increase.
Number of Inmates in MAT Program vs. Number of Filled FSA Positions
[Chart Data:
2021: Inmates 246; FSA Positions 111
2022: Inmates 3,208; FSA Positions 248
2023: Inmates 4,936; FSA Positions 338
2024: Inmates 9,136; FSA Positions 669]
*The correlation has an R2 value of 0.98 indicating that the number of filled FSA positions has a strong impact on the number of inmates in the MAT Program. To show a strong impact, data standards require R2 > 0.50.
18
EFTA00035846

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