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Extraction Summary
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People
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Organizations
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Document Information
Type:
Financial report / presentation slide
File Size:
2.56 MB
Summary
This document is page 13 of a UBS financial presentation titled 'Equities overview,' produced as part of the House Oversight Committee's investigation (Bates stamp HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_025260). It details UBS's global equity market strategies, expressing preferences for US and Emerging Market equities while maintaining neutral or negative stances on Eurozone, Canadian, and Australian markets. The document lists Markus Irngartinger and Carsten Schlufter as contacts and appears to date from late 2012 based on forward-looking references to 2013.
People (2)
| Name | Role | Context |
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| Markus Irngartinger | CIO asset class specialist |
UBS employee listed as a contact for further information.
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| Carsten Schlufter | CIO asset class specialist |
UBS employee listed as a contact for further information.
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| Name | Type | Context |
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| UBS |
Creator of the document.
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| ECB |
European Central Bank mentioned regarding the OMT program.
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| House Oversight Committee |
Implied by the Bates stamp 'HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_025260'.
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Locations (11)
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Relationships (1)
Both listed as CIO asset class specialists for UBS on the same slide.
Key Quotes (4)
"We keep our preference for US equities."Source
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Quote #1
"We keep our neutral stance on Eurozone equities."Source
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Quote #2
"We have an overweight position in EM equities."Source
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Quote #3
"We are negative on Consumer Discretionary as earnings expectations may be too optimistic."Source
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Quote #4
Full Extracted Text
Complete text extracted from the document (3,581 characters)
Equities overview
Global equity markets – Key points
• We keep an overall neutral allocation to equities (see summary on slide 3).
• We keep our preference for US equities. Resilient company earnings still speak for an overweight stance. Continued economic growth should underpin earnings also in 2013.
• We keep our neutral stance on Eurozone equities. Value is attractive compared to global equities. However, due to the recession in several countries the earnings dynamics remains weak. In addition, uncertainty as to when and under what conditions Spain will sign a memorandum of understanding keeps us from taking a more positive stance.
• We have an overweight position in EM equities. Monetary easing as well as fiscal stimulus in key countries, coupled with relatively attractive valuations, are supporting factors. Economic activity is likely to improve gradually over the coming quarters, supporting company earnings.
• We keep our negative stance on Canadian equities. Corporate earnings continue to decline, showing a weak development relative to the global trend. In addition, valuation is not compelling.
• We are cautious on Australian equities. Realized earnings continue to come down for the market.
• We are neutral on Swiss equities. Companies show solid earnings growth, which is expected to hold up better than in other regions. Although the Swiss franc is still overvalued, the weakening to the USD and related currencies since this summer provides additional earnings support.
• We keep our neutral view on UK equities. In the UK the earnings dynamics lags behind other markets. Also, the recent strengthening in the pound is a drag for earnings measured in local currency terms.
• We keep an overall neutral allocation to equities (see summary on slide 3).
• We keep our preference for US equities. Resilient company earnings still speak for an overweight stance. Continued economic growth should underpin earnings also in 2013.
• We keep our neutral stance on Eurozone equities. Value is attractive compared to global equities. However, due to the recession in several countries the earnings dynamics remains weak. In addition, uncertainty as to when and under what conditions Spain will sign a memorandum of understanding keeps us from taking a more positive stance.
• We have an overweight position in EM equities. Monetary easing as well as fiscal stimulus in key countries, coupled with relatively attractive valuations, are supporting factors. Economic activity is likely to improve gradually over the coming quarters, supporting company earnings.
• We keep our negative stance on Canadian equities. Corporate earnings continue to decline, showing a weak development relative to the global trend. In addition, valuation is not compelling.
• We are cautious on Australian equities. Realized earnings continue to come down for the market.
• We are neutral on Swiss equities. Companies show solid earnings growth, which is expected to hold up better than in other regions. Although the Swiss franc is still overvalued, the weakening to the USD and related currencies since this summer provides additional earnings support.
• We keep our neutral view on UK equities. In the UK the earnings dynamics lags behind other markets. Also, the recent strengthening in the pound is a drag for earnings measured in local currency terms.
Global equity sectors – Key points
• We keep our overweight in Consumer Staples. Among the defensives it offers good earnings growth prospects due to its geographically diversified revenue generation.
• We reiterate our preference for global IT due to a superior growth outlook and as we are in the seasonally strong second half year. With healthy balance sheets and good cash flows, sector valuation is in line with the overall market, while we believe it deserves a larger premium.
• We continue to like Healthcare as it offers solid long-term earnings prospects with low volatility and strong balance sheets. We reiterate our underweight in Telecoms, where we expect ongoing weak revenue growth as well as margin pressure.
• We are negative on Consumer Discretionary as earnings expectations may be too optimistic. With leading indicators in major regions still deteriorating, we keep our underweight in Industrials. We have concerns over weak manufacturing momentum leading to increased earnings revisions.
• The earnings outlook for US and Asian Financials is solid. We are neutral globally on Financials. While the ECB's OMT program reduces tail risk for Financials, it has limited impact on sector earnings.
• We keep our overweight in Consumer Staples. Among the defensives it offers good earnings growth prospects due to its geographically diversified revenue generation.
• We reiterate our preference for global IT due to a superior growth outlook and as we are in the seasonally strong second half year. With healthy balance sheets and good cash flows, sector valuation is in line with the overall market, while we believe it deserves a larger premium.
• We continue to like Healthcare as it offers solid long-term earnings prospects with low volatility and strong balance sheets. We reiterate our underweight in Telecoms, where we expect ongoing weak revenue growth as well as margin pressure.
• We are negative on Consumer Discretionary as earnings expectations may be too optimistic. With leading indicators in major regions still deteriorating, we keep our underweight in Industrials. We have concerns over weak manufacturing momentum leading to increased earnings revisions.
• The earnings outlook for US and Asian Financials is solid. We are neutral globally on Financials. While the ECB's OMT program reduces tail risk for Financials, it has limited impact on sector earnings.
Preferences (6 months)
underweight neutral overweight
North America USA
Canada
EMU
Europe UK
Switzerland
Sweden
APAC Australia
Hong Kong
Japan
Singapore
EM Global EM
new old
Note: Preference in hedged terms (excl. currencies)
underweight neutral overweight
North America USA
Canada
EMU
Europe UK
Switzerland
Sweden
APAC Australia
Hong Kong
Japan
Singapore
EM Global EM
new old
Note: Preference in hedged terms (excl. currencies)
underweight neutral overweight
Consumer Discretionary
Consumer Staples
Energy
Financials
Healthcare
Industrials
IT
Materials
Telecom
Utilities
new old
Source: UBS
Consumer Discretionary
Consumer Staples
Energy
Financials
Healthcare
Industrials
IT
Materials
Telecom
Utilities
new old
Source: UBS
UBS
For further information please contact CIO asset class specialists Markus Irngartinger, markus.irngartinger@ubs.com, or Carsten Schlufter carsten.schlufter@ubs.com 13
Please see important disclaimer and disclosures at the end of the document.
HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_025260
For further information please contact CIO asset class specialists Markus Irngartinger, markus.irngartinger@ubs.com, or Carsten Schlufter carsten.schlufter@ubs.com 13
Please see important disclaimer and disclosures at the end of the document.
HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_025260
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