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Extraction Summary

8
People
5
Organizations
11
Locations
3
Events
1
Relationships
4
Quotes

Document Information

Type: Political/economic research report
File Size: 2.11 MB
Summary

This document is page 6 of a political analysis report by Laffer Associates, updated on July 6, 2016. It analyzes historical Gallup 'satisfaction' polling data to predict the 2016 US Presidential election, forecasting a potential 'Reagan-like landslide' for Donald Trump based on voter turnout and historical trends. The document bears a 'HOUSE_OVERSIGHT' Bates stamp, indicating it was part of a document production for a Congressional investigation, but the specific page content contains no direct references to Jeffrey Epstein, his associates, or his financial network.

People (8)

Name Role Context
Donald Trump Presidential Candidate
Referred to as the presumptive Republican presidential nominee; report predicts a potential 'Reagan-like landslide' f...
Ronald Reagan Former President
Used as a benchmark for election satisfaction data and landslide victories.
H.W. Bush Former President
Referred to as 'Bush Senior'; election analyzed in context of Gallup polling.
Bill Clinton Former President
Elections in 1992 and 1996 analyzed for polling consistency.
George W. Bush Former President
Referred to as 'Bush the younger'; 2000 and 2004 elections analyzed.
Barack Obama Former President
Referenced in chart labels (Obama I, Obama II) and implied in 2008/2012 analysis.
John McCain Former Presidential Candidate
Mentioned regarding his defeat in November 2008.
Author (Unnamed) Writer
Refers to self in first person ('In my paper...', 'I relied heavily...'). Likely Arthur Laffer or an associate at Laf...

Organizations (5)

Name Type Context
Laffer Associates
Header entity, likely the creator of the report.
Gallup
Source of the polling data and charts used in the analysis.
Republican Party
Political party analyzed for seat gains and voter turnout.
Democratic Party
Political party analyzed for voter enthusiasm.
House Oversight Committee
Implied by the Bates stamp 'HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_025301'.

Timeline (3 events)

July 6, 2016
Document Update
N/A
May 3, 2016
Indiana Primary
Indiana
Donald Trump Republican Voters
October 2, 2014
Publication of paper 'Senate Outlook'
N/A
Author (Laffer Associates)

Locations (11)

Location Context
Country of focus for the election analysis.
State where Republicans picked up a Senate seat.
State where Republicans picked up a Senate seat.
State where Republicans picked up a Senate seat.
State where Republicans picked up a Senate seat.
State where Republicans picked up a Senate seat.
State where Republicans picked up a Senate seat.
State where Republicans picked up a Senate seat.
State where Republicans picked up a Senate seat.
State where Republicans picked up a Senate seat.
Location of the May 3rd primary mentioned as a turning point for Trump.

Relationships (1)

Donald Trump Political Nominee Republican Party
Donald Trump became the presumptive Republican presidential nominee

Key Quotes (4)

"If this poll reestablishes its predictive power in 2016, Trump wins in a Reagan-like landslide."
Source
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Quote #1
"The Republicans actually picked up nine seats... and lost none."
Source
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Quote #2
"Democrats are facing a tough up-hill fight against Republicans to say the least."
Source
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Quote #3
"In fact, in the 28 state primaries through May 3rd, the total number of Republicans who actually voted in those primaries has increased by 57.2% over 2008 and 67.1% over 2012"
Source
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Quote #4

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