HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_026810.jpg
1.77 MB
Extraction Summary
4
People
8
Organizations
4
Locations
3
Events
2
Relationships
3
Quotes
Document Information
Type:
Internal presentation slide / briefing note
File Size:
1.77 MB
Summary
This document is a Deutsche Bank Global Public Affairs briefing slide, authored by Francis J. Kelly, analyzing the geopolitical and market implications of the Iran Nuclear Deal (JCPOA). It notes that the deal will proceed despite US Congress opposition, highlights a 'quiet promise' of weapons sales to Saudi Arabia to secure their support, and outlines commercial opportunities for European corporations, specifically noting Iran's desire to build 400 luxury hotels. The document includes economic forecasts for Iran's GDP and export data, sourced from the IIF and IMF, and bears a House Oversight Committee Bates stamp, indicating it was part of a congressional investigation.
People (4)
| Name | Role | Context |
|---|---|---|
| Francis J. Kelly | Managing Director/Head of Global Public Affairs |
Author/Contact listed on the document footer for Deutsche Bank Global Public Affairs.
|
| Saudi King | Monarch of Saudi Arabia (King Salman) |
Mentioned as having been in DC 'last month' to discuss the deal.
|
| Matteo Renzi | Italian Prime Minister |
Mentioned as 'Italian PM Renzi', noted for already visiting Tehran.
|
| German FM | German Foreign Minister (Frank-Walter Steinmeier) |
Mentioned as having visited Tehran.
|
Organizations (8)
| Name | Type | Context |
|---|---|---|
| Deutsche Bank |
Creator of the document.
|
|
| Deutsche Bank Global Public Affairs |
Department responsible for the document.
|
|
| US Congress |
Mentioned in the header regarding stopping the nuclear deal.
|
|
| EU |
European Union, mentioned as moving forward fast.
|
|
| P5+1 |
Group of nations that reached the deal with Iran.
|
|
| IIF |
Institute of International Finance, cited as a source for charts.
|
|
| IMF |
International Monetary Fund, cited as a source for charts.
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| House Oversight Committee |
Implied by the Bates stamp 'HOUSE_OVERSIGHT'.
|
Timeline (3 events)
September 2015 (inferred from 'last month')
Locations (4)
| Location | Context |
|---|---|
|
Subject of the briefing.
|
|
|
City visited by Italian PM and German FM.
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|
Location where the Saudi King visited 'last month'.
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Mentioned in context of supporting the deal.
|
Relationships (2)
Listed as contact with @db.com email address.
King was in DC; US promised nuclear protection and weapons sales.
Key Quotes (3)
"US has quietly promised nuclear protection and massive weapons sales."Source
HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_026810.jpg
Quote #1
"Market implications of a deal are significant, especially for European corporates eager to get back into Iran marketplace"Source
HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_026810.jpg
Quote #2
"Iran wants to build 400 four & five star hotels in next five to ten years."Source
HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_026810.jpg
Quote #3
Full Extracted Text
Complete text extracted from the document (1,277 characters)
Iran: US Congress will not stop nuclear deal; EU already moving forward – fast. What’s next?
[Deutsche Bank Logo]
- P5+1 and Iran reached a deal. Big obstacle has been overcome: Enough US Senators support to ensure it can move forward.
- Saudi Arabia “supports” the deal. The Saudi king was in DC last month. US has quietly promised nuclear protection and massive weapons sales.
- Market implications of a deal are significant, especially for European corporates eager to get back into Iran marketplace (i.e. Italian PM Renzi already visited Tehran as has German FM).
- Iran wants to build 400 four & five star hotels in next five to ten years.
- But do not expect any significant oil export increase and/or sales into Iran for at least 8 – 10 months. Iran must first comply and set up systems for inspections.
- Saudi Arabia “supports” the deal. The Saudi king was in DC last month. US has quietly promised nuclear protection and massive weapons sales.
- Market implications of a deal are significant, especially for European corporates eager to get back into Iran marketplace (i.e. Italian PM Renzi already visited Tehran as has German FM).
- Iran wants to build 400 four & five star hotels in next five to ten years.
- But do not expect any significant oil export increase and/or sales into Iran for at least 8 – 10 months. Iran must first comply and set up systems for inspections.
[Chart Top Right]
Real GDP Growth
percent
IIF Forecast
Agreement [Green Bar Visualization]
No Agreement [Red Bar Visualization]
[X-Axis: 2006/07, 2008/09, 2010/11, 2012/13, 2014/15, 2016/17]
Real GDP Growth
percent
IIF Forecast
Agreement [Green Bar Visualization]
No Agreement [Red Bar Visualization]
[X-Axis: 2006/07, 2008/09, 2010/11, 2012/13, 2014/15, 2016/17]
[Chart Bottom Right]
exports in $ billion
MENA
Others
Turkey
Japan & Korea
China & India
EU
[X-Axis: 2007, 2008, 2009, 2010, 2011, 2012, 2013, 2014]
Source: IIF; IMF
exports in $ billion
MENA
Others
Turkey
Japan & Korea
China & India
EU
[X-Axis: 2007, 2008, 2009, 2010, 2011, 2012, 2013, 2014]
Source: IIF; IMF
Deutsche Bank
Global Public Affairs
Global Public Affairs
Francis J. Kelly
francis.j.kelly@db.com
francis.j.kelly@db.com
16
HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_026810
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