HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_025797.jpg
2.04 MB
Extraction Summary
12
People
6
Organizations
8
Locations
1
Events
4
Relationships
6
Quotes
Document Information
Type:
Meeting notes / memorandum
File Size:
2.04 MB
Summary
A document containing notes summarized by 'TJP' (likely Thomas J. Pritzker) from an Aspen Strategy Group meeting regarding US Policy on Arab Revolutions. The document records a debate between various foreign policy experts and former administration officials (Indyk, Feaver, Kahl, Flournoy, etc.) concerning the Obama administration's handling of the Arab Spring, specifically situations in Syria, Iraq, Libya, and Iran. The document bears a House Oversight bates stamp, indicating it is part of a congressional investigation, likely related to the Epstein/JP Morgan probes given the known context of these document releases.
People (12)
| Name | Role | Context |
|---|---|---|
| TJP | Summarizer/Author |
Provided the summary of the Aspen Strategy Group notes. (Likely Thomas J. Pritzker in the context of Epstein/Oversigh...
|
| Indyk | Speaker/Participant |
Discussed Syria spilling into Bahrain/KSA; advocated for earlier movement.
|
| Feaver | Speaker/Participant |
Identified as 'ex Bush'. Criticized 'BO's obsession w anti Bush' regarding Iraq.
|
| BO | Subject |
President Barack Obama (referred to as BO and Obama).
|
| Dannzinger | Speaker/Participant |
Identified as 'ex Obama Admin'. Praised Obama's job.
|
| Kahl | Speaker/Participant |
Identified as 'ex Obama Admin'. Defended administration regarding SOFA deal and NAM.
|
| NAM | Subject |
Likely Nouri al-Maliki (Prime Minister of Iraq). Referenced regarding SOFA deal.
|
| Flornoy | Speaker/Participant |
Likely Michèle Flournoy. Discussed 'lead from behind' strategy in Libya.
|
| Zelikow | Speaker/Participant |
Discussed administrative priorities regarding AQ, Iran, and Iraq.
|
| Froman | Speaker/Participant |
Stated 'lead fom behind' is not admin policy.
|
| Hadley | Speaker/Participant |
Discussed the 'era of big bets'.
|
| Maghan O | Speaker/Participant |
Likely Meghan O'Sullivan. Discussed assumptions regarding Muslim Brotherhood and KSA.
|
Organizations (6)
| Name | Type | Context |
|---|---|---|
| Aspen Strategy Group |
Organization hosting the discussion/meeting.
|
|
| Bush Administration |
Referenced by Feaver.
|
|
| Obama Administration |
Referenced by Dannzinger and Kahl.
|
|
| AQ |
Al Qaeda, mentioned by Zelikow.
|
|
| Muslim Bro |
Muslim Brotherhood, mentioned by Maghan O.
|
|
| House Oversight Committee |
Implied by the Bates stamp 'HOUSE_OVERSIGHT'.
|
Locations (8)
| Location | Context |
|---|---|
|
Major topic of discussion regarding spillover and engagement.
|
|
|
Mentioned as a place Syria conflict might spill into.
|
|
|
Saudi Arabia (Kingdom of Saudi Arabia). Described as a 'BFD'.
|
|
|
Discussed regarding engagement, civil war, and SOFA deal.
|
|
|
Mentioned in context of 'lead from behind' strategy.
|
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Mentioned regarding avoiding premature war.
|
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ME
|
Middle East.
|
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Directional reference for Iraqi troop movements.
|
Relationships (4)
Described as 'ex Bush'.
Described as 'ex Obama Admin'.
Described as 'ex Obama Admin'.
Key Quotes (6)
"KSA is a BFD."Source
HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_025797.jpg
Quote #1
"Feaver is living in a fantsy world."Source
HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_025797.jpg
Quote #2
"lead fom behind' is not admin policy."Source
HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_025797.jpg
Quote #3
"advancing our interests w a Lead from behind or a light handed approach will only work if a numner of assumptions are accurate"Source
HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_025797.jpg
Quote #4
"Dannzinger is uncharacteristically wrong."Source
HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_025797.jpg
Quote #5
"BO's obsession w anti Bush (especially wrt Iraq) has unnecessarily limited Administrations ability to engage in Iraq"Source
HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_025797.jpg
Quote #6
Full Extracted Text
Complete text extracted from the document (2,161 characters)
Notes from Aspen Strategy Group
US Policy on Arab Revolutions
TJP summary: Plenty of different opinions on what was done right and wrong. No
consensus.
TJP summary: Plenty of different opinions on what was done right and wrong. No
consensus.
Indyk: syria will spill into Bahrain and KSA (Saudi). We should have moved earlier.
KSA is a BFD.
Feaver (ex Bush): BO's obsession w anti Bush (especially wrt Iraq) has
unnecessarily limited Administrations ability to engage in Iraq which -as we see
now w Syria - is just dumb.
Dannzinger (ex Obama Admin): obama has done a remarkable job and the only
way he could have done better is if I had held a senior post in the Administration.
Kahl (ex Obama Admin) : Feaver is living in a fantsy world. BO couldn't make a
SOFA deal w NAM. He tried, but we had no leverage and Iraqis wanted to break
sense of occupation. So President went to zero based engagement and now wants
to build engagement w Iraq from zero base.
Flornoy: Feaver, you make me feel like I lived in a different reality. Did a good job
of articulating "lead from behind" strat in Libya. When you consider our national
interests in the context of our domestic condition, we did the best we could.
Zelikow: what are the top priorities of admin. Defeat AQ and avoid a "pre mature
war w Iran; avoid Iraqi civil war - Iraq is moving troops now to west; manage the
hot situations in ME.
Froman: "lead fom behind" is not admin policy. Leverage our resources and those
of our allies.
Hadley: now in era of big bets. We need to define our objectives and spot moments
when we should lead and take a big bet.
Maghan O: advancing our interests w a Lead from behind or a light handed
approach will only work if a numner of assumptions are accurate (eg Muslim Bro
will moderate; monarchy -KSA- will self reform). These are big assumptions and
therefore using a light hand may fail. Agrees w Hadly that there are times we should
take a big bet and Iraq would have been an example of that.
Indyk: we need to engage more in Syria. It is a regional lynch pin and lead from
behind won't work.
Feaver: Dannzinger is uncharacteristically wrong. A different approach 4 yrs ago
would have left us in better positions in Iran Iraq and Syria.
KSA is a BFD.
Feaver (ex Bush): BO's obsession w anti Bush (especially wrt Iraq) has
unnecessarily limited Administrations ability to engage in Iraq which -as we see
now w Syria - is just dumb.
Dannzinger (ex Obama Admin): obama has done a remarkable job and the only
way he could have done better is if I had held a senior post in the Administration.
Kahl (ex Obama Admin) : Feaver is living in a fantsy world. BO couldn't make a
SOFA deal w NAM. He tried, but we had no leverage and Iraqis wanted to break
sense of occupation. So President went to zero based engagement and now wants
to build engagement w Iraq from zero base.
Flornoy: Feaver, you make me feel like I lived in a different reality. Did a good job
of articulating "lead from behind" strat in Libya. When you consider our national
interests in the context of our domestic condition, we did the best we could.
Zelikow: what are the top priorities of admin. Defeat AQ and avoid a "pre mature
war w Iran; avoid Iraqi civil war - Iraq is moving troops now to west; manage the
hot situations in ME.
Froman: "lead fom behind" is not admin policy. Leverage our resources and those
of our allies.
Hadley: now in era of big bets. We need to define our objectives and spot moments
when we should lead and take a big bet.
Maghan O: advancing our interests w a Lead from behind or a light handed
approach will only work if a numner of assumptions are accurate (eg Muslim Bro
will moderate; monarchy -KSA- will self reform). These are big assumptions and
therefore using a light hand may fail. Agrees w Hadly that there are times we should
take a big bet and Iraq would have been an example of that.
Indyk: we need to engage more in Syria. It is a regional lynch pin and lead from
behind won't work.
Feaver: Dannzinger is uncharacteristically wrong. A different approach 4 yrs ago
would have left us in better positions in Iran Iraq and Syria.
1
HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_025797
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